Letter: Record Profits from Chaos - How Big Oil Cashes In on the Hormuz Shutdown

June 1, 2026

Nathan Richardson on the economic impact of the Hormuz Blockage on the US working class.

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In the spring of 2026, working families across the United States are confronting yet another sharp rise in energy costs. Big Oil is shifting the burdens of this crisis-driven windfall directly onto the shoulders of the working class. Gasoline prices have climbed approximately 30% in recent months. Diesel costs have risen 35%, placing severe pressure on truckers and family farmers. Grocery and electricity bills continue to edge higher amid persistent energy-market volatility. A household earning $65,000 annually now faces stark trade-offs between filling the tank and stocking the refrigerator. These are not abstract policy considerations. They constitute the daily reality at kitchen tables from Ohio to Texas to Iowa − tangible hardship, difficult choices, and real families absorbing the costs while the largest oil companies report record profits.

According to corporate filings, ExxonMobil posted $4.2 billion in first-quarter 2026 earnings, while Shell recorded nearly $7 billion in adjusted profits for the same period. These figures are not incidental outcomes of “market forces” or “geopolitical tension.” They represent substantial cash windfalls flowing into executive compensation packages and shareholder returns at a time when ordinary households are tightening budgets yet further. On average, American families already allocate roughly $2,400 per year to gasoline alone, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data, and lower-income households devote approximately 4.2% of their total income to fuel costs. Meanwhile, the oil and gas industry has directed more than $45 million into Republican candidates and political action committees this midterm cycle, per OpenSecrets tracking. That is not philanthropy. It is a calculated investment in congressional allies who will resist stricter regulations, defeat proposals for windfall-profit taxes, and maintain the flow of unchecked profits.

The immediate driver of much of this pressure is the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow chokepoint normally carries roughly 20.9 million barrels per day (approximately 20% of global petroleum liquids) according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Tankers have backed up, spot prices have spiked, and the ripple effects now reach every fuel pump, every grocery aisle, and every household ledger in the United States. Yet the official narrative omits a critical detail. Rather than treating the closure as the national emergency it clearly is, the Trump administration has moved cautiously, offering no sustained diplomatic campaign or urgent operational plan to restore the flow. The reason is straightforward: American oil producers are realizing substantial gains from the elevated prices, and the same companies are channeling millions into Republican campaign coffers ahead of the November midterms. Prolonged disruption translates into higher profits, larger donations, and stronger political protection.

It is no coincidence that fuel-industry donors are directing substantial sums to Republican candidates precisely as the administration hesitates. Many working Americans are now asking pointed questions about the underlying objectives of the recent hostilities involving Iran. While unverified conspiracy narratives are not endorsed here, the alignment of crisis profits, campaign contributions, and governmental inaction forms a pattern too consistent to ignore. At the same time, China derives roughly 37% of its crude imports from supplies that transit the Strait of Hormuz. Disrupting that route imposes measurable economic pain on Beijing and risks turning two major economies into adversaries rather than partners. What is presented as an effort to safeguard global shipping lanes bears the unmistakable hallmarks of classic divide-and-conquer strategy.

For the working class, the consequences are immediate and severe. Truck drivers have seen operating margins evaporate. Family farmers watch diesel expenses consume an ever-larger share of harvest revenues. Single parents forgo carpools or essential errands because the additional fuel cost is unsustainable. Families delay major purchases, postpone medical appointments, or reduce meals simply to keep vehicles on the road. The psychological burden compounds the financial strain: chronic stress, sleepless nights over stretched paychecks, and heightened anxiety about job security. In industries tied to transportation and logistics, layoff survivors shoulder heavier workloads, contributing to record levels of burnout. Mental-health services report overwhelming demand, and financial pressure is straining family relationships. Everyday workers who form the backbone of the economy are carrying the heaviest load while receiving almost none of the rewards.

The deeper problem extends beyond oil or shipping lanes themselves. It lies in the structural logic of monopoly capital under capitalism, which routinely converts external crises into opportunities to externalize costs, erode accountability, intensify exploitation, and further concentrate wealth and power within a narrow ruling class. The same corporations continue to announce record quarterly results. Executives receive multi-million-dollar compensation packages. Share prices often climb on news of supply disruptions. Gains are privatized; the costs of crisis are socialized onto working families.

None of this serves the stated goals of global stability or principled leadership. It is a calculated power play that allows Big Oil to profit while the public absorbs higher gasoline prices, elevated food costs, and increased expenses across the board. The United States positions itself as the responsible actor on the world stage. Iran is cast as the aggressor. And ordinary citizens (truckers moving goods across the heartland, farmers maintaining equipment, parents stretching every dollar) pay more at the pump for a disruption that need not have persisted.

Big Oil has refined this playbook over decades, converting international instability into domestic windfalls. Corporations lobby aggressively against long-term renewable transitions that could moderate price volatility. They oppose any mechanism to recapture crisis profits for public benefit. And they continue to finance politicians who consistently place corporate balance sheets above family budgets.

The public does not need additional rhetoric about “energy dominance.” It needs measurable outcomes: price stability that does not penalize the bottom 90% while the uppermost tier of wealth holders continue to accumulate gains. It needs full transparency on political contributions so voters can see precisely whose interests are being served. And it needs any administration (regardless of party) to treat a 20% disruption in global oil supply as the genuine emergency it is, rather than a convenient profit center for major campaign contributors.

The present situation lays bare a fundamental corrosion in energy politics. When corporate earnings and political donations align so seamlessly with governmental inaction, working families lose every time. The Strait of Hormuz may lie thousands of miles away, yet the resulting pain at the pump registers directly in American households. This challenge transcends any single crisis or election cycle. It raises the central question of whether American democracy still belongs to the people who labor for their living, or whether it has been captured outright by the industries that profit from their hardship.

Comradely,

Nathan Richardson

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